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The Typical American House Has Grown Much Faster than Incomes

Submitted by Taps Coogan on the 22nd of March 2018 to The Sounding Line.

Back in October 2017, we published an article examining the relationship between median family income and median home prices. We came to the grim conclusion that it took the median American household roughly twice as many years of work to afford the median home as it did in the 1960s.

Ratio of Median US House Sales Prices and Median Family Income since 1963
Data Source: Federal Reserve

While this remains very true, commenter ‘Milton’ noted that the increase in the relative cost of homes may have as much to do with the increasing size of homes as it does with stagnating incomes:

“Wouldn’t it be more accurate to compare the cost of comparable square footage homes? The average size home today is over 100% larger than 1960.”

The following chart shows the median square footage of new single family houses since 1984 and is followed by a chart of the growth in inflation adjusted median family income versus median square footage for new single family homes since 1984 (the earliest available data).

Median New Single Family House Square Footage web
Data Source: Census.gov
Median Real Family Income vs Median New Single Family House Square Footage since 1984
Data Source: Census.gov, Federal Reserve

As these charts show, the size of new homes has grown by over 50% since 1984, yet median family incomes have only grown by 20%. While the square footage figures only count new houses, not all existing houses, it is true that the increasing cost of the median American home is largely a result of new homes getting bigger. The following chart from the American Enterprise Institute drives this point home. Adjusted for inflation, new US homes are essentially the same price per square foot as in 1973.

housing2

While the median house still takes nearly twice as many years of work for the median family to afford, that is in no small part because new houses are getting bigger. Nonetheless, stagnant incomes sure don’t help.

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March 22, 2018 Taps Coogan

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